Championship, R20 (7-8 Dec, 2018)

07-12-2018 12:12

After 7 years in the Premier League, you would think Swansea would be well-placed to bounce straight back after relegation. But currently they sit in the bottom half of the table (13th) and have only won 7 of their first 20 games. The Swans travel to Brentford this weekend, who are perhaps similarly under-performing compared to pre-season expectations. The Model suggests Swansea could slip even further down the table, with a 1-0 (15%) defeat on the cards.

Our local club, Reading F.C., sit perched above the drop zone as we head towards the mid-point of the season. They welcome Sheffield Utd to the Madejski tomorrow evening, who themselves are on a dip in form. The Model forecasts an even game, and 1-1 (12%) is the most likely outcome.

The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
West Brom Aston Villa 2-1 10 43 29
Birmingham Bristol City 1-0 10 49 24
Brentford Swansea 1-0 15 45 27
Leeds QPR 1-0 12 53 21
Middlesbrough Blackburn 1-0 16 53 21
Millwall Hull 1-0 11 43 28
Norwich Bolton 1-0 20 66 13
Notts Forest Preston 1-0 15 49 24
Reading Sheff Utd 1-1 12 35 36
Sheffield Wed Rotherham 2-0 11 42 29
Stoke Ipswich 1-0 19 59 17
Wigan Derby 0-1 11 32 39

 

Read more...